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The Threat Intelligence Lifecycle Explained

Understanding the Intelligence Cycle

Threat intelligence encompasses various forms of data gathering and analysis, including Open-Source Intelligence (OSINT), which is a critical subset of this discipline. It’s important to understand that threat intelligence and OSINT should not be confused. OSINT is a type of intelligence, focusing on gathering publicly available information. However, threat intelligence represents a higher level in the overall intelligence production process, utilizing OSINT alongside other intelligence sources to create a comprehensive picture of potential threats. The Threat Intelligence Lifecycle is a methodology forming the backbone of effective Open-Source Intelligence (OSINT) operations.

Whether you’re in cybersecurity, law enforcement, or business intelligence, understanding this process is crucial for conducting thorough and ethical investigations.

The intelligence lifecycle has developed alongside OSINT practices, with various organizations adopting different models to suit their specific needs. While some organizations use a 5-step approach and others prefer a 7-step model, the core principles remain consistent. OSINTNexus follows the 6-step model, which provides a comprehensive framework while maintaining practical simplicity.

Understanding Data, Information, and Intelligence

Before diving into the lifecycle steps, it is important to understand the distinction between data, information, and intelligence; terms often used interchangeably but carrying different meanings in the context of intelligence operations.

Data represents raw, unprocessed facts and figures. Think of website traffic logs, social media posts, or public records in their original form. Information emerges when we process and organize this data into a meaningful format, applying context and structure. An easy way to remember the difference is that information can be thought of as “data with a purpose”; it’s data that has context and meaning. Intelligence takes this a step further; it is analyzed information that enables decision-making and action. For example, a list of IP addresses is data, identifying which ones are active is information, but understanding which ones pose potential threats is intelligence.

Understanding the Six Steps

The Threat Intelligence Lifecycle consists of six key steps, transforming raw data and information into actionable intelligence. Each step builds upon the previous one resulting in a continuous cycle of improvement and refinement.

1. Direction: Setting the Course

Direction is the foundation of any successful intelligence operation. This step involves defining clear objectives, establishing scope, and identifying Priority Intelligence Requirements (PIRs). Without proper direction, investigators risk getting lost in the vast ocean of available data. In short, think of direction as focusing on outcomes of your objectives: “What are the questions I am trying to answer?”

Real-World Example: Reconnecting with an old friend.

Imagine you want to reconnect with an old middle school friend. Instead of randomly searching the internet, first establish your key questions as PIRs: What social media platforms were popular in your age group? Where did they last live or work? What mutual connections might still be in touch with them? What timeframe of school records might be relevant? These PIRs help focus your search and avoid wasting time on dead ends.

It is easy to determine questions that you wish to answer, and for this reason, PIRs are subject to scope creep. It is best to remain hyper focused on the true answers that will help you make informed and actionable decisions, rather than answer many questions that provide little value. Not all questions you answer will be considered intelligence. For more great context, read the article When everything is intelligence – nothing is intelligence.

2. Collection: Gathering Intelligence

The collection step involves gathering information from various public sources while maintaining ethical and legal boundaries. This could include social media platforms, public records, news articles, and other open sources. The key is to be systematic and thorough while following proper OSINT collection best practices. It is important to document the methods used to obtain data and information to ensure they can be reproduced during validation and by report recipients. For example, if investigating a Person of Interest (PoI) to support a law enforcement operation, it is necessary for law enforcement and legal teams to understand how the evidence was obtained and to reproduce those steps.

Depending on your PIRs, collection can include reviewing public data on websites, social media feeds, security device logs, dark web forums, photos, and almost any other data points you can imagine.  This step can be grueling and a large task to undertake without the proper tools and training. It is a good practice to automate as many collection tasks as possible to allow analysts to spend more time on analysis and reporting which results in more actionable intelligence.

OSINT Tradecraft Tidbits

Source Verification — When collecting data and information, always verify them across multiple sources. A single source might be incomplete or misleading. For example, a social media post claiming a security breach should be cross-referenced with official company statements, security researchers’ findings, and other reliable sources before being included in your intelligence product.

3. Processing: Refining Raw Data

Processing transforms raw data into a format suitable for analysis. This step involves cleaning, organizing, and structuring information to make patterns and connections more visible. It is important to ensure data and information you acquire is free from false information and duplication. This step may also include enrichment of data to help make it more useful and provide additional context. The purer the data and information, the easier it will be to establish confidence and produce meaningful results during the analysis step. Think of this step as sorting through a giant box of puzzle pieces and organizing the pieces by color and shape before attempting to build the picture.

4. Analysis: Finding Meaning

Analysis is where collected data transforms into actionable intelligence. This step requires critical thinking, pattern recognition, and the ability to connect seemingly unrelated pieces of information and analysts must look beyond surface-level data to uncover hidden insights and meaningful conclusions. Depending on the focus, whether operational or strategic, the results from this step may be applied immediately in response to an active incident, or as intelligence to drive long-term decision making related to other defined PIRs.

One thing to remember during this step is “Who is my audience?”, or better yet, who will be reviewing the final intelligence product and how will it be used. You should ask yourself the following:

  • Is my audience technical or non-technical?
  • What format is needed by the consumer of the intelligence product to make it most useful? PowerPoint, csv file, video, etc.
  • Am I providing specific recommendations based on the outcomes of the intelligence produced?
  • Do I have multiple audiences, and do they have different reporting needs?

5. Dissemination: Sharing Results

The dissemination step focuses on communicating findings effectively to stakeholders. This involves creating clear, concise reports that present intelligence in an actionable format. Some of the considerations in the dissemination step include:

  • How is the intelligence delivered?
  • How often is intelligence and updates to previous intelligence delivered?
  • How does the intelligence consumer ask questions or clarify details if needed?
  • Classification levels and traffic-light-protocol (TLP) considerations?

6. Feedback: Continuous Improvement

Feedback completes the cycle by evaluating the effectiveness of the intelligence product and identifying areas for improvement. It may also include feedback about adjustments to the PIRs based on the outcomes from the newly shared intelligence. It is important to consider how you can receive feedback efficiently without adding a burden to the overall process or to the recipients of the intelligence products. Do not overcomplicate this part of the intelligence cycle and keep the process as simple as possible while achieving valuable feedback.

This step ensures that future investigations benefit from past experiences and lessons learned. This step is a key part of the iterative process and is vital to the overall refinement and success of the intelligence production process.

From Intelligence to Action

One crucial point to remember is that we define Priority Intelligence Requirements (PIRs) for a specific reason – to drive action. There’s an important distinction between having “actionable intelligence” and taking action with that intelligence. Intelligence without subsequent action is essentially a waste of time, money and valuable resources. When we invest time and effort into the intelligence lifecycle, from defining PIRs to producing finished intelligence products, the ultimate measure of success is not just the quality of our intelligence, but the actions and decisions it enables.

Building Your Intelligence Capabilities

As you continue exploring OSINTNexus, you’ll find more detailed content about each step of the intelligence lifecycle, along with practical exercises and real-world case studies. Whether you’re new to threat intelligence or looking to refine your existing skills, understanding and applying this lifecycle will enhance your capabilities as an intelligence professional.

Essential Research and Resources